Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD flat-lines below $1,930 level, FOMC minutes awaited

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Gold price reverses an intraday dip on Wednesday, though lacks follow-through Commodities XAUUSD

Economic woes and the worsening US-China ties benefit the safe-haven metal.attracts some dip-buying near the $1,920 area and climbs to the top end of its intraday trading range during the early part of the European session. The XAU/USD, however, remains below the weekly high touched on Tuesday and currently trades around the $1,927-$1,928 region, up less than 0.15% for the day.

The disappointing Chinese macro data, along with the worsening US-China relations, temper investors' appetite for riskier assets and turn out to be a key factor that benefits the safe-haven Gold price. In fact, the Caixin/S&P Global Services PMI fell from 57.1 in May to 53.9 last month - the lowest reading since January. This comes after China introduced export curbs on two metals - widely used in semiconductors, electric vehicles and high-tech industries - to the United States .

The upside for the Gold price, however, is likely to remain capped in the wake of a more hawkish stance adopted by major central banks, including the Federal Reserve . In fact, the US central bank had signalled in June that borrowing costs may still need to rise as much as 50 bps by the end of this year. Moreover, the markets have been pricing in a greater chance of a 25 bps lift-off at the next FOMC monetary policy meeting on July 25-26.

The USD, meanwhile, lacks bullish conviction amid the uncertainty over the Fed's future rate-hike path. It is worth recalling that the softer US PCE Price Index released on Friday, along with Monday's weaker US ISM PMI, raised questions over how much headroom the Fed has to continue with its monetary policy tightening cycle. Hence, the market focus will remain glued to the release of the June FOMC meeting minutes, due later during the US session.

, which, in turn, should play a key role in influencing the USD price dynamics and help determine the near-term trajectory for the XAU/USD.

 

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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD bulls need to crack $1,924 to confirm a falling wedge💰 $XAUUSD treads water around $1,920 💵 $USD finds support from firmer US Treasury bond yields and a cautious risk tone 🔍 The daily technical setup suggests a limited upside for Gold price ahead of US jobs data Full forecast ⏩ Forex Commodities
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