Risk-taking has strongly returned to financial markets since the final quarter of 2022. While the consensus is for the party to continue, some observers call for caution as key indicators point to fiat liquidity pressures ahead.
The going could get tricky, as of late widely-tracked fiat liquidity metrics, like the Fed net liquidity indicator and the global net liquidity indicator, have turned lower, according to crypto fund Decentral Park Capital's Portfolio Manager Lewis Harland. The fiat liquidity measures have turned lower, signaling tough times for risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.
Bank reserves held at the Federal Reserve are also dropping, as tweeted by Sven Henrich, the founder and lead market strategist at NorthmanTrader, and Endeavour Equity Strategy's Founder, Douglas Orr. A similar divergence is seen in the MSCI All Country World Index and the total assets the big five central banks , also a measure of fiat liquidity.
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