The Federal Reserve will begin its Federal Open Market Committee meeting exactly one week from today on Tuesday, June 13th. On the morning of the 13th, the government will release its latest report on inflationary pressures vis-à-vis the CPI . This will be the last important piece of data that Fed officials will use to make their final decisions regarding monetary policy.
Although the extremely hawkish and restrictive monetary policy of 10 consecutive rate hikes that took the Fed’s benchmark rate to between 5 and 5 ¼% has dramatically lowered inflation but it is still well above the Federal Reserve’s target. Fed members have been waiting for the data to indicate if inflationary pressures are headed toward their goal.
The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland “Nowcast” provides real-time daily estimates of the PCE and CPI levels. It uses daily oil prices, and weekly gasoline retail prices and combines them with monthly consumer prices to offer a time-sensitive forecast of inflation providing real-time insight.
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