Data shows pro Bitcoin traders want to feel bullish, but the rally to $23K wasn’t enough

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Multiple metrics show professional Bitcoin traders’ desire to flip fully bullish on BTC price, but this week’s run to $23,000 wasn’t enough confirmation of a trend change.

) price had a mixed reaction on Jan. 25 after the United States reported a 2.9% gross domestic product growth in the fourth quarter, slightly better than expected. Still, the sum of all goods and services commercialized between October and December grew less than 3.2% from the previous quarter.

The United States dollar index , a measure of the dollar's strength against a basket of top foreign currencies, sustained 102, near its lowest levels in eight months. This signals low confidence in the U.S. Federal Reserve's ability to curb inflation without causing a significant recession. For example, one can increase exposure by borrowing stablecoins to buy Bitcoin. On the other hand, Bitcoin borrowers can only short the cryptocurrency as they bet on its price declining. UnlikeOKX stablecoin/BTC margin lending ratio. Source: OKX

More importantly, the current metric at 17 favors stablecoin borrowing by a wide margin and it indicates that shorts are not confident about building bearish leveraged positions.Traders should also analyze options markets to understand whether the recent rally has caused investors to become more risk-averse. The 25% delta skew is a telling sign whenever arbitrage desks and market makers are overcharging for upside or downside protection.

Currently, near zero, the delta skew signals investors are pricing similar risks for the downside and the upside. So, from one side, the lack of demand from margin traders willing to short Bitcoin seems promising, but at the same time, options traders were not confident enough to become optimistic.

 

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Bitcoin price has flashed a few bullish signals, but traders are not too keen on adding leverage longs until after the Federal Reserve shows its cards on Feb. 1.

Exercise. See indian rupee to usd Year graph, then crypto adoption World map and You will understand the process...

“...an unwarranted easing in financial conditions, especially if driven by a misperception by the public of the Committee’s reaction function, would complicate the Committee’s effort to restore price stability.” In plain “markets rallies will be knocked down by the Fed'

Dang it.. sell signal.. Why u have to point this out?😔

But does the data factor in all the jeets?

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