When Caesars Sportsbook’s assistant director of trading Adam Pullen set the opening Super Bowl line at Rams -3.5, he thought the spread could’ve even been at the key number of -3.
“Personally, I don’t see the line moving any higher toward the Rams, but I didn’t think it’d move any higher than four,” Pullen said with a chuckle. “I don’t pretend to know everything. I’m not right all the time.” Since 2000, only two teams have covered as 4-point favorites or more. That’s an against-the-spread record of 2-10-1. Favorites of three or fewer points, though, went 5-3 ATS over this time frame.