Most investment managers tend to give their clients upbeat messages that play up opportunities to make money in the markets. Jeremy Grantham, the eighty-three-year-old co-founder of G.M.O., a Boston-based investment firm, does the opposite. “The long, long bull market since 2009 has finally matured into a fully-fledged epic bubble,”, at the start of 2021.
If Grantham’s warnings are well founded, the stock-market correction could mark the beginning of something much bigger and far more damaging. In, which G.M.O. posted on its Web site on January 20th, Grantham wrote that the stock-market bubble he’d identified last January had turned into a “superbubble,” which also encompassed bonds, real estate, and, increasingly, commodities.
One pointer to how reliable his analysis could be, are the number of people taking pot shots at him. Nobody likes the man who says there will soon be a thunderstorm in the middle of a parade on a sunny day. Human experience shows such men are usually right.
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It was always all about interest rates. Now that rates are climbing, stocks are going to get hammered.
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